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Jan 14 2025
When OGC Nice host Monaco at the Allianz Riviera on , the clash is being billed as the Derby de la Côte d'Azur. The stakes are clear: Monaco sit second in the Ligue 1 table with 20 points, while Nice linger in eighth with just 10.
Season Context for Both Clubs
Monaco have racked up a perfect 6‑2‑0 record so far – six wins, two draws and no losses – positioning them just three points behind leaders Paris Saint‑Germain. Their goal‑scoring machine, led by Victor Osimhen (who has netted eight times), pairs with a stingy defence that has conceded only eight goals.
Nice, in contrast, have eked out two wins, four defeats and two stalemates. Their six‑point gap from the top reflects a "topsy‑turvy" start that club captain Milan Škriniar described as "a learning curve we’re still climbing".
Statistically, Nice rank sixth in expected goals (xG) with 13.1, while their xGA (expected goals against) sits at 8.9. Their defence has kept two clean sheets – a 25 % clean‑sheet rate – and the side has recorded 37 saves at an 84.1 % save percentage.
Head‑to‑Head History and Recent Encounters
The historical ledger heavily favours Monaco: they have won 21 of the last 46 meetings, while Nice managed 15 victories. Even more telling is Monaco’s unbeaten run in their last five visits to the Allianz Riviera. In the most recent six clashes, Nice have lost three, drawn two and won just one.
Last season’s derby ended 2‑1 to Monaco, a result that reinforced the Principality side’s dominance on French soil. The pattern repeats this year, with experts noting that Monaco’s away form – three consecutive Ligue 1 wins on the road – looks "firing on all cylinders".
Key Players and Tactical Outlook
Between the sticks, Nice will rely on Marcin Bulka, whose reflexes have earned him 14 yellow cards and a solitary red card this season. Monaco counter with Polish shot‑stopper Radoslaw Majecki, who boasts a clean‑sheet rate of 30 % in his five appearances.
Both managers appear set to field attacking line‑ups. Nice’s coach, Frédéric Antonetti, has hinted at a 4‑3‑3 shift to add width, while Monaco’s boss, Didier Deschamps (not to be confused with the French national coach), is expected to stick with a 4‑2‑3‑1 that maximises Osimhen’s central presence.
Moving the ball quickly will be crucial. Nice have averaged 44 shots on target against this season, while Monaco’s recent games have seen both sides score in six of the last seven outings – a sign that defensive rigidity may be out‑spent by attacking intent.
Betting Markets and Expert Predictions
Multiple prediction engines are leaning heavily toward a Monaco win. Sportskeeda predicts a 1‑3 result in favour of the visitors, backing the "Monaco to win" market and suggesting over 2.5 goals. Their betting tip also includes "both teams to score", reflecting the six of Monaco’s last seven matches where both sides found the net.
Forebet, another model, goes a step further, forecasting a 3‑2 scoreline. Both sites point to Monaco’s three‑goal streak in seven of their last eight games – a pattern that bolsters confidence in high‑scoring outcomes.
In the betting world, the odds for a Monaco victory sit around 1.66, while a Nice upset is priced near 5.50. The over 2.5 goals market trades at 1.80, making it an attractive play given both teams’ recent attacking displays.
What the Result Means for the Title Race
If Monaco clinch three points, they close to 23, keeping the pressure on Paris Saint‑Germain and potentially forcing a late‑season sprint for the crown. A win would also mark their fifth straight away victory in Ligue 1, cementing their reputation as a genuinely continental contender.
For Nice, a victory would be a morale‑boosting bounce‑back, lifting them into the top‑six and sharpening their pursuit of European spots. Even a draw could keep them within touching distance of the coveted Europa League places, especially if the leaders stumble in upcoming fixtures.
Broadcast fans can catch the action live on Fubo television. The match kicks off at 17:00 CET, and with both teams eager to assert dominance, the atmosphere at the Allianz Riviera is expected to be electric.
Key Facts
- Match: OGC Nice vs AS Monaco –
- Location: Allianz Riviera, Nice, France
- League position: Monaco 2nd (20 pts), Nice 8th (10 pts)
- Recent form: Monaco W5 (unbeaten), Nice W2 L4 D2
- Betting odds: Monaco win 1.66, Over 2.5 goals 1.80
Frequently Asked Questions
How could a Monaco win affect the Ligue 1 title race?
A victory would lift Monaco to 23 points, narrowing the gap to league leaders Paris Saint‑Germain and putting pressure on other contenders. It would also give them momentum heading into the mid‑season period, where every point becomes crucial.
Which players are key to Nice’s chances of pulling off an upset?
Midfielder Youssouf Fofana and forward Basil Tchouteni have the creative spark Nice needs. Their ability to break down Monaco’s disciplined defence could be the difference‑maker.
What are the most likely betting markets to watch?
Besides the outright winner, the over 2.5 goals market is attractive, given both teams’ recent goal‑rich games. The "both teams to score" market also offers value, with six of Monaco’s last seven matches seeing both sides on the scoresheet.
When and where can fans watch the match?
The derby kicks off at 17:00 CET on Sunday, October 27, and will be streamed live on Fubo television. For those in France, local broadcasters will also carry the game from the Allianz Riviera.
How have recent head‑to‑head results shaped expectations?
Monaco’s unbeaten streak in their last five visits to Nice, combined with a 21‑win advantage in the last 46 meetings, has tilted predictions heavily in their favour. Nice’s recent 50 % loss rate against Monaco adds to the challenge they face.
Comments
vicky fachrudin
While Monaco’s current form is undeniably impressive, it’s worth noting the underlying metrics that could influence the outcome, such as their expected goals per 90 minutes and the defensive solidity they have shown; Nice’s recent clean‑sheet record, albeit modest, suggests they are tightening up at the back. Moreover, the psychological edge of playing at home often translates into a higher pressing intensity, which Nice might leverage to disrupt Monaco’s rhythm. Keep an eye on Victor Osimhen’s positioning – he’s been prolific, but the slightest lapse in defensive marking could be costly. Finally, don’t underestimate the impact of set‑pieces; both teams have aerial threats that could change the scoreline in a flash.
subhashree mohapatra
Monaco’s flawless record looks great on paper, but the hype can blind you to their fragility. Their defence, while solid, has been caught out by quick transitions, and Nice’s counter‑attack could expose that. The odds feel skewed – a 5.5 payout for a Nice win isn’t just a fluke; it reflects real uncertainty. Let’s not write off the underdogs just because the stats say otherwise.
Mansi Bansal
i think monaco has the edge but nice also have some talent that can turn the game, especially with foFana and basil who can make diffrent. also the crowd in riviere can push nice to play better. dont disregrad the history but look at the current form of both sides.